European Geophysical Society
XXIV General
Assembly, The Hague, The Neterlands, 19-23 April 1999
IWGs on Natural Hazards and on Non Linear Processes
Symposium NP1-06
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Scope of the meeting
Natural and man-made hazards cover a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. They include a large variety and number of interacting components and are often associated with basic concepts of complexity. Examples of these hazards include floods, landslides, volcanic eruptions, earthquakes, forest-fires,, cyclonic storms, droughts, global warmings and hazardous waste contamination. This session seeks papers that apply ideas of fractals and multifractals, chaos or sel-organized criticality to both risk assessment and our general understanding of natural and man-made hazards. Both theorethical and experimental contributions are solicited. We expect to have an outstanding selection of oral and poster
contributions.
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Goals of the open forum
The forum is intended to stimulate an open discussion on the subject of the symposium as well as on any other closely related subject before the date of the symposium. We hope in this way to disseminate information and to stimulate a discussion that will hopefully contribute to a better and more fruitfull symposium. Individuals intersted in these (or related) arguments are strongly invited to contribute to the discussion. Any comment, idea, suggestion or criticism on the symposium or on any single contribution presented on these pages should be addressed to the convener.
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Program
08:45 HERGARTEN, S.; NEUGEBAUER, H.J. - Self-organised criticality in landsliding processes
09:00 EVANS, S.G.; HUNGR, O. - A magnitude-frequency relation for rockfall and its application to rockfall hazard assessment along strategic transportation routes
09:15 WATKINS, N.W.; CHAPMAN, S.C.; DENDY, R.O.; ROWLANDS, G. - Robustness of avalanche distributions in a strongly driven sandpile model for the magnetosphere
09:30 NARTEAU, C.; SHEBALIN, P.; HOLSCHNEIDER, M.;LE MOUEEL, J.L.; ALLEGRE, C.J. - Scaling organisation of fracture tectonics
09:45 VINCIGUERRA, S.; KILBURN, C.R.J.; ROCCHI, V.; MCGUIRE, W.J. - Fractal rock failure and eruption forecasts
10:15 GODANO, C. - A SOC model for earthquakes with self-affine geometry
10:30 SUKMONO, S. - Fractal geometry analysis of Sumatra and Palu-Matano fault systems (Indonesia): implications for geodynamic and earthquake study
10:45 GIANNONI, F.; ROTH, G.; RUDARI, R. - Influence of catchment fractal geometry in rainfall-runoff modelling
11:00 SHNIRMAN, M.G.; BLANTER, E.M. - Scaling and heterogeneity in a simple hierarchical model
11:15 BLANTER, E.M.; SHNIRMAN, M.G. Restricted self-organised criticality in a hierarchical model of decision
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